Editor’s Note: This is not investment advice, and we are not financial advisers.
Suppose real estate is the most significant investment a majority of people make in their lifetime. In that case, it’s best to understand the places in Vermont with best potential return on investment.
After working in real estate adjacent roles for over a decade, I had the hypothesis that the best place to buy for a return on investment would be up-and-coming cities. Smaller cities where crime might be high now, but people still move to.
To test my hypothesis, we are going to look at places in Vermont that are growing faster than average, but where home prices are below average, and crime rates are higher than average.
In everyday terms, these might be “deals”. The best deal in Vermont at the moment according to Saturday Night Science? That would be Morrisville.
5.4% population growth · -2.8% home price growth
Data | Crime | Cost of living | Movers
5.0% population growth · -1.2% home price growth
3.1% population growth · -1.0% home price growth
Randolph is a town in Orange County, Vermont, United States. The population was 4,853 at the 2000 census, making Randolph the largest town in Orange County. The town is a commercial center for many of the smaller, rural farming communities that surround it.
When the area was originally settled there were three villagesRandolph Center, East Randolph and West Randolph–the current locations of the three fire departments. What is now the central village of the current town had previously been the village of West Randolph.
-0.9% population growth · -4.2% home price growth
6.8% population growth · -4.1% home price growth
Bristol is a town in Addison County, Vermont, United States. The town was founded June 26, 1762. The population was 3,894 at the 2010 census. Main Street is home to most of the businesses of the town. The town is also home to the Lord’s Prayer Rock.
5.3% population growth · -1.6% home price growth
4.2% population growth · 1.4% home price growth
-2.3% population growth · -1.7% home price growth
Data | Crime | Cost of living | Movers
16.9% population growth · 0.5% home price growth
-0.2% population growth · -3.0% home price growth
Data | Crime | Cost of living | Movers
The receipts
Compare the top ten
Pick a metric. The bars rescale. The red line is Vermont’s statewide median.
Vermont statewide median: $394,038
On the map
Where Vermont’s best buys are
Saturday Night Science
Methodology: How do you determine the best places to buy a home in Vermont for 2026?
We were in real estate for almost five years and have worked on this site for over a decade. Suffice it to say we’ve put a lot of thought into finding an excellent place to buy a home.
So all that thinking has come to this moment where we get to spell out how we’d approach finding an up-and-coming place to live in Vermont. Put differently, the analysis will try to find places in Vermont with undervalued homes relative to pent-up demand using Saturday Night Science.
To do that, we looked at the most recent American Community Survey Census data for 2020-2024 and compared it to the previous vintage. Specifically, we used the following criteria:
- Y-o-Y Change In Population (People want to live here)
- Y-o-Y Change In Median Home Prices (People are willing to pay for it)
- Home Prices Relative To The State Average (It’s still kinda cheap)
We want places that are growing, have seen home prices increase in recent years, and are still “cheap” for Vermont, with these caveats: home prices had to be within 20% of the state average, home prices increased in the last year, and the city had above 2,000 people.
So of the 120 cities and towns in Vermont, only 28 places made it through our initial filters to even be considered.
We then ranked each place from 1 to 28 for the above criteria, with 1 being the best. We averaged the rankings to create a “best place to buy” index, with the place having the lowest index being the best.
Turns out that Morrisville is the best potential gem in the not-so-rough in the Green Mountain State.
The full plate
Best Places To Buy A Home In Vermont
Click any column to sort. Search by city name.
| Rank | City | Population | Median Home Price | Population Change | Home Price Increase |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morrisville | 2,664 | $360,432 | 5.4% | -2.8% |
| 2 | Windsor | 2,060 | $285,515 | 5.0% | -1.2% |
| 3 | Randolph | 2,007 | $344,904 | 3.1% | -1.0% |
| 4 | West Rutland | 2,125 | $207,195 | -0.9% | -4.2% |
| 5 | Bristol | 2,142 | $389,881 | 6.8% | -4.1% |
| 6 | Manchester Center | 2,037 | $447,804 | 5.3% | -1.6% |
| 7 | Fair Haven | 2,537 | $234,349 | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| 8 | Swanton | 2,670 | $340,862 | -2.3% | -1.7% |
| 9 | White River Junction | 3,364 | $346,992 | 16.9% | 0.5% |
| 10 | Vergennes | 2,565 | $357,849 | -0.2% | -3.0% |
| 11 | Bellows Falls | 2,891 | $235,015 | 1.4% | -2.4% |
| 12 | West Brattleboro | 2,749 | $318,740 | 5.2% | -7.2% |
| 13 | Wilder | 3,087 | $340,022 | -9.0% | 2.4% |
| 14 | Milton | 3,555 | $457,022 | 1.3% | -1.3% |
| 15 | Springfield | 4,237 | $239,335 | 9.1% | -5.2% |
| 16 | Newport | 4,394 | $254,527 | -0.4% | -2.5% |
| 17 | St. Johnsbury | 5,859 | $217,181 | -1.4% | -8.3% |
| 18 | Shelburne | 6,499 | $689,015 | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| 19 | Brattleboro | 7,657 | $314,813 | -1.7% | -3.1% |
| 20 | St. Albans | 6,954 | $361,249 | 0.6% | -1.0% |
| 21 | Middlebury | 7,220 | $451,189 | 1.0% | -0.4% |
| 22 | Winooski | 8,293 | $427,517 | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| 23 | Montpelier | 8,014 | $414,351 | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 24 | Bennington | 9,245 | $243,918 | 4.0% | -1.7% |
| 25 | Barre | 8,412 | $300,280 | -0.6% | -1.9% |
| 26 | Rutland | 15,712 | $276,480 | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| 27 | South Burlington | 20,756 | $481,493 | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Burlington | 44,675 | $506,784 | 0.1% | -2.6% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 2020-2024 via Saturday Night Science. 28 Vermont cities cleared the filters.
Summary
Summary: The Best Places To Purchase A House In Vermont for 2026
There’s our analysis of the best places to buy a house in Vermont. And, to be clear, we aren’t necessarily saying these places are the best places to live, just that it looks like they might be in a couple of years based on the data.
In fact, every place in the following table meets our criteria, so even though it may not look super long, remember we started off with all 120 places in the state.
The best cities to buy a house in Vermont are Morrisville, Windsor, Randolph, West Rutland, Bristol, Manchester Center, Fair Haven, Swanton, White River Junction, and Vergennes.
So if we could rent or buy in these cities, we’d definitely buy.
